Monday 5 April 2010

On Chinese currency

Actually, this is one of the most forgotten dimensions of China's success. By keeping its currency artificially underpriced, China is bolstering its sales volumes, as they then possess a strong competitive advantage in the World market - a very low price. But this comes with a clear cost - salaries! When keeping the currency undervalued, China is not allowing that increases in productivity have a direct influence on wages, thus keeping the average citizen underpaid vs what it should. In an economy that is only know kick-starting, very controlled, with severe restrictions on information circulation and travelling, this is a problem that can be managed... at least for a short while. But soon, international currency market and internal productivity pressures will climb to a point where holding the nowadays Chinese currency value will cost too much to China. The correction will be strong, sharp and sudden.

http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/asiapcf/04/04/us.china.treasury/index.html

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