Wednesday 27 January 2010

We need a longer term strategy

The figures are out. Portugal Governmental deficit reached 9.3% in 2009. 2010 projections point for a 1% reduction and a 8.3% figure - meaning Public Debt will be at 85.4% of total GDP, a 880 bps increase vs 2009... Public Debt service will weight between 5 and 8% of Portugal's GDP. After a strong slumpdown in 2009, GDP is supposed to laggardly grow at 80 bps in 2010. Portugal is in a severe crisis - no new news... What nobody is relating is that this financial crisis comes together with a economical one. One of a lack of competitiveness of Portuguese companies in the international market - every year we are able to add less and less competitive products and services in the global economy.


There are urgent needs to tackle and actions to be taken. But what is surprising is the lack of consistency on them - the lack of a longer term purpose for all the actions, of a strategy that tells us what and how we should guide our present day actions. Because economy doesn't end on Governmental Budget management!


Portugal needs a long term strategy. Some (few) persons have been telling that for years - the issue seems to be vanished of political speeches and minds for years. The last real effort was the Porter Report back in the 90's - and very little action ensued it. We need to know were we are aiming for, how we want Portugal to be in 10, 20 years - economically talking. How we will grow. How we will support that growth. What is needed to support our vision - what actions, what policies, what choices!


That is above political parties. It is down to society. We have the responsability to demand that strategy!


And lets be honest about it. If we don't, if we are to be unable to build a national economic strategy, we will sink. In debt. In poverty. In less-development. Our companies will not be able to sell products to other markets. They will not be able to compete with foreign companies in our market. They will sell less and less. So they will need less people. Less business and higher unemployment means less taxes. Which means higher debt. Which means higher debt service. Which...


We need to break this flow, this cycle. We need to be able to think longer term! So we can start taking the necessary actions now!

1 comment:

Pedro Veiga said...

Como seria então uma estratégia a longo prazo?
Cá para mim seria apostar forte nas gerações mais novas, criar oportunidades. Existe ainda tanta gente capaz neste país (gente que ainda não emigrou!).
Tudo está errado neste país, a começar pelas dificuldades que os pais têm para educar uma criança.